UnidoRecruitingNATIONAL

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg

Wednesday, 26 June 2013

Follow Up on Eric Sprott's Bullish Call on Gold

Posted on 08:32 by Unknown
As a follow up on Eric Sprott's bullish call on gold here, let's see what has happened ever since.

His premise was that hedge funds take possession of their physical gold of the GLD trust, because there isn't any other gold available. As they take possession of this physical gold, they are going to sell it to China who give huge premiums on this physical gold (around 3%).

Following chart indeed says to us that hedge funds are still taking possession of their GLD trust units. The GLD now only has 969 tonnes of physical gold left. The question is now, how much physical gold does GLD really have? If someone knows, please tell me. But we have another way we can look at it, by just looking at how much registered gold there is on the COMEX.

Chart 1: GLD

If we look at the COMEX warehouses, registered gold (which represents 40 tonnes physical gold) is declining (blue chart on Chart 2). Total stock is declining too (around 200 tonnes). When these charts hit zero, there is no gold anymore at the COMEX and we will see defaults. The gold exchange will become a cash exchange.

Once the blue line intersects with zero, bad things will happen because no physical gold is available at the COMEX. I guess that when the blue line intersects, there is a chance GLD could blow up as people scramble to get physical gold at the GLD trust.

Chart 2: COMEX

Jim Sinclair confirms:
As long as physical gold remains at a premium above future that is above the cost of insurance and transportation, the lower the inventory of gold at the COMEX goes. A futures exchange without a warehouse inventory becomes a cash exchange. This is the emancipation of physical gold from the manipulative capacity of No-Gold, Paper - Gold

Now let's see how this translates into the premiums on the Shanghai Gold Exchange.
Chart 3: Shanghai Gold Premium
As you can see on Chart 3, the premium has never been as high since I monitored it. We are at 2.8% now.
So investors are taking the opportunity to make arbitrage profits by buying gold from GLD and selling it to China at a premium.

Let's see how long this can go on.

On the silver front, premiums have almost skyrocketed to 40% for some miners.

Chart 4: First Majestic Silver premium

Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest
Posted in arbitrage, Eric, Gold, premium, Shanghai, silver, Sprott | No comments
Newer Post Older Post Home

0 comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • GLD trust gold inflow?
    Looks like the media is telling us that the GLD trust physical gold holdings are rising and giving a boost to the precious metals prices. I ...
  • The Current Status on Precious Metals
    Let's do a quick analysis on precious metals here. First off, I said yesterday that China lost interest in gold during the past months i...
  • J.P. Morgan Converts Almost Half of Eligible Gold to Registered Gold
    I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw this. Suddenly we saw the J.P. Morgan vault get almost half of the eligible gold converted into re...
  • Correlation between Bonds and Gold
    Just to be sure that I have this picture (and correlation) logged onto this blog, here is the famous Zero Hedge bonds Vs. gold chart. Chart ...
  • Silver Inventories at CME and Lease Rates
    Just a few weeks after I turned bullish on silver , articles are sprouting out of nowhere about silver inventories being historically low . ...
  • China May 2012 Gold Imports from Hong Kong Still in an Uptrend
    A little update on China's gold imports from Hong Kong. For May 2012, China imported 75.6 metric tons from Hong Kong . Pretty disappoint...
  • China Construction Bank to Buy European Bank: RBS or Commerzbank?
    On 16 September 2012, China Construction Bank  (CCB) announced that it would use up to $15 billion dollars to buy a stake (30%-50% stake or ...
  • No U.S. Deficit in December 2012
    The U.S. has done a good job in the month of December 2012. Its outlays of $270 billion were fully absorbed by receipts of $270 billion whic...
  • Premiums on silver skyrocket
    With the 10% smackdown of silver today, the premiums on junk silver skyrocketed to 25% (Chart 1). The disconnect between the physical market...
  • The Declining Trade Deficit: Not As Rosy As You Would Think
    The trade deficit numbers are out for June 2013 and have been very positive. Due to an oil boom, the trade deficit shrank 22% from around $4...

Categories

  • 10 (1)
  • 10 year treasuries (1)
  • 1987 (1)
  • 2012 (7)
  • 30 (1)
  • account (1)
  • acquisitions (1)
  • adjustable (1)
  • ADP (1)
  • Advantage (1)
  • aggregates (2)
  • AGQ (1)
  • agriculture (1)
  • Akamai Technologies (1)
  • alert (1)
  • Alex Jones (1)
  • Allan Meltzer (1)
  • Allana (1)
  • Allana Potash (1)
  • amber gold (1)
  • America (1)
  • and (2)
  • Angela (1)
  • APMEX (5)
  • applications (1)
  • April 2012 (1)
  • arbitrage (2)
  • Arthur (1)
  • asia (2)
  • Asian (1)
  • At. Augustine Gold (1)
  • Atlantic Economy Summit (1)
  • AUD (1)
  • Australian dollar (1)
  • automotive (2)
  • average (3)
  • Avino (1)
  • bac (2)
  • backing (1)
  • backwardation (6)
  • balance (8)
  • balance sheet (3)
  • Baltic (1)
  • Baltic Dry Index (1)
  • Bank (10)
  • Bank of America (1)
  • Bankrupt (1)
  • bankruptcy (2)
  • banks (3)
  • bar (1)
  • Barclays (1)
  • Bargain (1)
  • Barrick Gold (1)
  • base (1)
  • base money (1)
  • Bass (1)
  • BCS (1)
  • beleggerscompetitie (4)
  • Belgium (10)
  • Ben (3)
  • Ben Bernanke (4)
  • Bernanke (4)
  • Bernstein (1)
  • BHP (1)
  • bitcoin (8)
  • blog (1)
  • BNP (1)
  • bond (14)
  • bond yields (1)
  • bonds (33)
  • boom (1)
  • Brad Cooke (1)
  • Brazil (1)
  • brent (2)
  • Brink's (2)
  • brother (1)
  • BrotherJohnF (1)
  • bubble (2)
  • budget (2)
  • Budget Deficit (1)
  • Buffett (2)
  • building (2)
  • bullion (1)
  • bullish (1)
  • buyback (1)
  • buying (1)
  • c (1)
  • calculation (2)
  • Cambridge (1)
  • Canada (1)
  • Capacity (8)
  • Capacity Utilization (7)
  • Capesize (1)
  • capita (1)
  • Capstone Mining (1)
  • car crash (1)
  • Case-Shiller (1)
  • Casey (1)
  • Cash is Trash (1)
  • cattle (1)
  • ceiling (4)
  • celente (2)
  • cement (1)
  • central (2)
  • CFTC (3)
  • Chaudhary (1)
  • Chicago (2)
  • China (48)
  • China Construction Bank (1)
  • CHK (1)
  • chocolate (1)
  • Citigroup (2)
  • city (1)
  • claims (3)
  • CLF (1)
  • cliff (3)
  • CME (11)
  • cnbc (2)
  • CNT depository (1)
  • coal (2)
  • cocoa (1)
  • COFER (2)
  • coffee (1)
  • comedy (1)
  • COMEX (33)
  • commercial (1)
  • Commerzbank (1)
  • commodities (4)
  • commodity (1)
  • competition (1)
  • composition (1)
  • Conan (1)
  • Conference (2)
  • congress (1)
  • consumer (4)
  • consumption (2)
  • Contango (26)
  • contraction (1)
  • convention (1)
  • copper (34)
  • copper contango (1)
  • corn (2)
  • Corp (1)
  • correlation (54)
  • correlations (7)
  • cost (5)
  • costs (1)
  • COT (4)
  • cotton (1)
  • council (1)
  • country (2)
  • county (1)
  • cover (1)
  • CPI (5)
  • crash (2)
  • CRB (3)
  • credit (2)
  • Credit Agricole (1)
  • Croatia (1)
  • crude (3)
  • currency (3)
  • current (1)
  • curve (1)
  • Cut (1)
  • Cyprus (7)
  • Da (1)
  • daily (1)
  • Dan Norcini (1)
  • David (1)
  • David Morgan (2)
  • DB (1)
  • de-peg (1)
  • Debt (30)
  • debt ceiling (2)
  • debt limit (1)
  • December (1)
  • decoupling (7)
  • default (4)
  • deficit (7)
  • deflation (2)
  • delivery (1)
  • Demand (6)
  • Denmark (2)
  • Denninger (1)
  • deposit (8)
  • deposit facility (1)
  • deposits (3)
  • diamond (1)
  • Discouraged (1)
  • disposable (1)
  • dividend (1)
  • DJP (1)
  • DNC (1)
  • dollar (2)
  • domestic (1)
  • Doug (1)
  • Dow (7)
  • drop (1)
  • Dry (1)
  • durable (1)
  • dwcf (1)
  • earnings (4)
  • earnings per share (1)
  • ECB (6)
  • economy (1)
  • Ecuador (1)
  • elections (1)
  • electricity (2)
  • eligible (2)
  • Embry (1)
  • Employment (1)
  • Endeavour (1)
  • Endeavour Silver (2)
  • Engelhard (1)
  • eps (3)
  • equities (3)
  • equity (1)
  • equity markets (1)
  • Eric (6)
  • Eric Sprott (1)
  • estate (2)
  • estimate (1)
  • ETF (3)
  • Ethiopia (1)
  • Ethiopian Potash (1)
  • eur (1)
  • Eureka (1)
  • Euribor (2)
  • euro (8)
  • Europe (7)
  • European Union (1)
  • Eurozone (1)
  • exchange (1)
  • EXK (1)
  • expansion (1)
  • experiment (4)
  • exploration (1)
  • export (1)
  • exports (1)
  • Exposure (1)
  • external (1)
  • Faber (3)
  • family (1)
  • Faustian (1)
  • fed (2)
  • federal (10)
  • federal reserve (3)
  • Fertilizer (1)
  • Financial Services Committee (1)
  • First (3)
  • First Majestic Silver Corp. (1)
  • fiscal (3)
  • fiscal cliff (1)
  • fixed (1)
  • food stamps (1)
  • food stamps hire people (1)
  • foreigners (4)
  • forex (1)
  • Forum (1)
  • forward (1)
  • franc (1)
  • France (3)
  • Fraser (1)
  • French (1)
  • fund (1)
  • funds (3)
  • gas (1)
  • Gazprom (1)
  • gdp (25)
  • George Soros (1)
  • Germany (3)
  • gld (3)
  • GNP (1)
  • GOFO (4)
  • Gold (130)
  • gold money index (1)
  • golden cross (1)
  • Goldman (1)
  • Goldman Sachs (2)
  • goldonomic (1)
  • goods (1)
  • got gold report (1)
  • government (2)
  • great (1)
  • Great Depression (2)
  • Greece (8)
  • Greg (1)
  • gross (1)
  • growth (1)
  • GS (1)
  • GSK (1)
  • Hampshire (1)
  • Hang Seng (1)
  • Happy New Year (1)
  • Hedge (1)
  • Hewlett Packard (1)
  • Hitler (1)
  • HMI (1)
  • holding (1)
  • holdings (4)
  • Hole (1)
  • Hollande (4)
  • home (1)
  • hong (7)
  • Hong Kong (11)
  • hour (4)
  • hourly (3)
  • Housing (8)
  • housing market index (1)
  • HSBC (1)
  • Hunter (1)
  • Hyperinflation (3)
  • IMF (1)
  • import (14)
  • imports (16)
  • income (1)
  • index (13)
  • India (1)
  • industrial (2)
  • industry (1)
  • inflatiion (1)
  • inflation (11)
  • iniflation (1)
  • initial (3)
  • initial claims (1)
  • initiative (1)
  • Insider (1)
  • insider trading (1)
  • institute (1)
  • interconnectivity (1)
  • Interest (9)
  • interest payment (1)
  • Interest Rates (1)
  • inventory (1)
  • investment (2)
  • Investor (1)
  • Iran (4)
  • Ireland (1)
  • Iron (2)
  • Iron ore (2)
  • Irwin (1)
  • Israel (2)
  • Italy (4)
  • J.P. Morgan (7)
  • J.P. Morgan Chase (1)
  • Jackson (1)
  • James (5)
  • James Turk (2)
  • Japan (10)
  • jesse jackson (1)
  • Jim (1)
  • Jim Rogers (1)
  • Jim Sinclair (1)
  • JNJ (1)
  • job cuts (1)
  • jobless (2)
  • John (3)
  • John Davis (1)
  • Jones (2)
  • JP Morgan (1)
  • jpm (1)
  • July (1)
  • June (2)
  • junk (3)
  • Karl (1)
  • keiser (2)
  • king world news (1)
  • Kohler (1)
  • kong (7)
  • KWN (2)
  • Kyle (1)
  • Kyle Bass (1)
  • laptop (1)
  • large commercial (1)
  • Las (1)
  • LBMA (3)
  • LCNS (9)
  • Lease (8)
  • Lease rate (3)
  • lease rates (2)
  • Lecture (1)
  • lending (1)
  • leverage (1)
  • Liberty (1)
  • LIBOR (3)
  • Lloyds (1)
  • LME (3)
  • Loans (1)
  • london (2)
  • long (1)
  • LTRO (3)
  • lumber (1)
  • M0 (1)
  • M1 (1)
  • M2 (1)
  • M3 (2)
  • Majestic (3)
  • Maloney (1)
  • manager (1)
  • manipulation (1)
  • Marc (3)
  • Marc Faber (11)
  • March (1)
  • margin (1)
  • marginal (4)
  • market (5)
  • Mastercard (1)
  • maturity (2)
  • Mauldin (1)
  • max (2)
  • max keiser (3)
  • May (1)
  • MBS (5)
  • Melvin (1)
  • merger (1)
  • Merkel (1)
  • metal (1)
  • metals (7)
  • Metdist (1)
  • MF global (1)
  • Michael (2)
  • Middle East (1)
  • Mike (1)
  • Mike Maloney (2)
  • miners (2)
  • mines (1)
  • Mining (4)
  • minister (1)
  • Mint (1)
  • monetary (1)
  • money (4)
  • Moneyshow (1)
  • monitoring (1)
  • Monitoring of decoupling (1)
  • Morgan (1)
  • Morgan Stanley (1)
  • mortgage (6)
  • Moustache (1)
  • moving average (1)
  • MZM (3)
  • natural (1)
  • Natural gas (3)
  • Neeraj (1)
  • Negative (3)
  • net (4)
  • Netherlands (2)
  • New (1)
  • News (1)
  • nickel (1)
  • Noel (1)
  • Nomura (2)
  • non farm payroll (1)
  • non-farm payroll (1)
  • NOS (1)
  • Novartis (1)
  • O'Brien (1)
  • obesity (1)
  • Occupy (1)
  • Offering (1)
  • oil (9)
  • oil embargo (1)
  • Okun (1)
  • olivut resources (1)
  • OLV (1)
  • Onion (1)
  • open (3)
  • orders (1)
  • ore (1)
  • outflow (1)
  • outlay (4)
  • outlays (1)
  • overnight (1)
  • P/B (1)
  • P/E (2)
  • palladium (4)
  • Pan American Silver (1)
  • Panamax (1)
  • paper (1)
  • Paulson (1)
  • payment (1)
  • payroll (3)
  • pegging (1)
  • pending (1)
  • Pentagon (1)
  • Pento (2)
  • permit (2)
  • personal (1)
  • Peter (13)
  • Peter Schiff (13)
  • petition (1)
  • Pfizer (1)
  • pharmaceutical (1)
  • phys (1)
  • physical (2)
  • piano (1)
  • PIIGS (6)
  • platinum (7)
  • PMI (11)
  • Ponzi (1)
  • Poor's (2)
  • population (1)
  • Portugal (3)
  • positions (3)
  • Potash (1)
  • Potemkin (1)
  • PPLT (1)
  • precious (4)
  • premium (25)
  • president (1)
  • Price (16)
  • private (1)
  • product (1)
  • production (7)
  • profit (1)
  • PSLV (5)
  • public (3)
  • purchasing (1)
  • QE (1)
  • QE3 (6)
  • radio (1)
  • rally (2)
  • rate (27)
  • rates (2)
  • ratio (11)
  • RBS (1)
  • real (4)
  • Real estate (4)
  • receipt (1)
  • recession (1)
  • recycling (1)
  • red (1)
  • referendum (1)
  • regions (1)
  • registered (3)
  • registered gold (1)
  • repatriation (1)
  • report (4)
  • requirement (1)
  • reserve (12)
  • reserve currency (1)
  • reserve requirement (1)
  • reserves (3)
  • Resource (1)
  • revenue (2)
  • revision (1)
  • revisions (1)
  • Rhodium (1)
  • Rickards (1)
  • RJA (1)
  • RMB (1)
  • Road (1)
  • Roche (1)
  • Royal Canadian Mint (1)
  • run (1)
  • Russia (2)
  • Sachs (1)
  • sales (1)
  • SAU (1)
  • Saudi Arabia (1)
  • Savings (5)
  • scheme (1)
  • Schiff (13)
  • Scott Minerd (1)
  • scrap (3)
  • second quarter (1)
  • sector (1)
  • securities (1)
  • Seminar (1)
  • sentiment (2)
  • SGS (1)
  • Shanghai (15)
  • share (1)
  • sheet (7)
  • SHIBOR (1)
  • short (6)
  • short positions (1)
  • shortage (2)
  • shorting (1)
  • Show (1)
  • Silva (1)
  • silver (90)
  • Silver glitch (1)
  • Silver Lake Resources (1)
  • Singapore (1)
  • single (1)
  • Sipef (1)
  • slv (3)
  • Societe general (1)
  • Soros (1)
  • soybean (1)
  • soybeans (1)
  • Spain (4)
  • Spain unemployment (1)
  • SpainC (1)
  • Spanish (1)
  • SPDR (1)
  • spending (2)
  • Spiegel (1)
  • SPPP (2)
  • SPR (1)
  • spread (1)
  • Sprott (14)
  • stand (1)
  • standard (3)
  • Standard and Poor's (5)
  • starts (1)
  • stimulus (2)
  • stock (19)
  • stocks (2)
  • strategic petroleum reserve (1)
  • Street (1)
  • stress (1)
  • Student (1)
  • sugar (1)
  • supply (5)
  • Supramax (1)
  • surplus (1)
  • surprise (1)
  • Swaps (1)
  • Swiss (2)
  • Switzerland (4)
  • takeover (1)
  • target (1)
  • tax (8)
  • taxation (1)
  • taxes (1)
  • Tekoa (1)
  • test (1)
  • testify (1)
  • The Real Crash (1)
  • Theory (2)
  • TLT (1)
  • total (4)
  • trade (1)
  • trade deficit (1)
  • transport (1)
  • treasuries (18)
  • treasury (10)
  • treasury holdings (2)
  • trust (3)
  • turbo (1)
  • Turk (5)
  • U.S. (21)
  • U.S. debt (1)
  • U.S. dollar (1)
  • U.S. Mint (2)
  • U.S. treasuries (1)
  • U.S. treasury holdings (1)
  • U3 (1)
  • U6 (1)
  • unemployment (17)
  • Unemployment rate (1)
  • united states (1)
  • up (1)
  • US (7)
  • USA (1)
  • USD (8)
  • Utilization (8)
  • Valcambi (1)
  • valuation (1)
  • Vegas (1)
  • velocity (5)
  • Visa (1)
  • volatility (1)
  • wage (3)
  • wages (1)
  • Wall (1)
  • Wall Street Journal (1)
  • War (3)
  • warehouse (1)
  • Warren (2)
  • wedge (1)
  • Western Potash (1)
  • wheat (2)
  • worker (1)
  • world (1)
  • World Market Window (1)
  • wrap (1)
  • WTI (1)
  • Yahoo (1)
  • year (2)
  • yen (2)
  • Yeul (1)
  • yield (11)
  • yields (2)
  • yuan (1)
  • zero (6)
  • Zero Hour (2)
  • Zero Hour Debt (1)
  • zerohedge (2)
  • zinc (1)

Blog Archive

  • ▼  2013 (243)
    • ►  August (7)
    • ►  July (14)
    • ▼  June (34)
      • Croatia To Join European Union
      • Unemployment Vs. Real GDP
      • About Delivery Ratio and Cover Ratio at the COMEX
      • PIIGS Bank Deposits Outflow Accelerating
      • Case Study on the Housing Market of Belgium and Th...
      • Building Permits Vs. Housing Market
      • Correlation: Lumber Vs. Housing
      • What is Open Interest?
      • The Housing Bubble is Deflating
      • GDP revised lower
      • Follow Up on Eric Sprott's Bullish Call on Gold
      • The Onion Report: The cost of a dollar
      • Michael Pento's Outlook
      • Marc Faber's Outlook
      • Gold/Silver Premiums Going through the Roof Again
      • Ben Bernanke: "Our debt is in great demand"
      • LIBOR Vs. SHIBOR
      • Correlation: LIBOR Vs. Fed Funds Rate
      • Goldman Sachs Was Right!
      • Initial Jobless Claims starting to rise, S&P in fo...
      • Warning: Deflation is on the horizon
      • Shanghai Gold Market Opens With a Boom
      • COMEX gold another huge drop
      • Copper Contango Report Shows Weakness to Come
      • Silver ETF Vs. Silver Price
      • Jim Rickards' Currency War
      • U.S. Debt Flattening Out
      • COMEX to run out of gold in August 2013
      • China Gold Imports from Hong Kong in April 2013: D...
      • COMEX not to be trusted?
      • Correlation: S&P Revenues Vs. PMI
      • When will inflation in Japan show up?
      • Manufacturing PMI goes into Recession/Depression T...
      • What do the latest GDP numbers tell us?
    • ►  May (23)
    • ►  April (53)
    • ►  March (36)
    • ►  February (33)
    • ►  January (43)
  • ►  2012 (257)
    • ►  December (42)
    • ►  November (26)
    • ►  October (30)
    • ►  September (20)
    • ►  August (25)
    • ►  July (32)
    • ►  June (30)
    • ►  May (29)
    • ►  April (23)
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

Unknown
View my complete profile