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Showing posts with label Switzerland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Switzerland. Show all posts

Sunday, 27 January 2013

Swiss Gold Repatriation Almost Reality

Posted on 02:43 by Unknown
A year ago, 4 Swiss parliament members launched the "Swiss Gold Initiative" to repatriate their gold to Switzerland. Today, almost one year later we have 90000 supporters for this initiative. Once the 100000 supporters is reached, we are certain that the Swiss National Bank will repatriate their gold holdings. I'm sure those 10000 votes will be reached by March 2013.

So not only the Germans want their 3400 tonnes of gold back, now the Swiss want their gold back.

As of September 2012, the SNB had 55591 million CHF gold (Table 1). That's 59139 million USD gold or 33.4 million ounces of gold or 1040 tonnes of gold. That's one third of Germany's gold and is pretty significant.

The SNB hasn't said where its gold is and also hasn't said if it will repatriate their gold all at once, but if they were to repatriate it all at once, it would be almost double the amount that Germany is now repatriating over 7 years: namely 674 tonnes of gold.

Table 1: Swiss National Bank Balance Sheet
Other countries who want their gold back are: Ecuador (26 tonnes), The Netherlands (613 tonnes)



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Posted in Ecuador, Germany, Gold, Netherlands, repatriation, Switzerland | No comments

Wednesday, 25 July 2012

How low can negative yields on Swiss bonds go?

Posted on 11:11 by Unknown
We have been seeing negative bond yields in Switzerland and Germany. Which is very odd if you ask me. The question begs to be asked: "How low can negative yields go?".

To give an answer to this you need to have an understanding of the price-yield curve of bonds. You can gain money if yields go lower (bond price rises), but you will lose money because you need to pay interest on the negative yield. So there should be an equilibrium point and as a scientist I very much want to find that equilibrium point.

There is a very nice online tool for the price-yield curve on this site: Wolfram: Price-Yield Bond Curve.

Inputs for this tool are:
1) Years to maturity (if you buy a new 2 year bond it has 2 years to maturity)
2) Annual Coupon payment (the amount of cash you get per annum)
3) Yield (the annual percentage cash you get on the principal)

I will analyze the 2 year Swiss government bonds in this article.

Chart 1: Swiss 2 year Government Bonds

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Posted in bonds, curve, Germany, Negative, Price, Switzerland, yield | No comments

Thursday, 31 May 2012

Swiss Government Bonds Spike

Posted on 09:24 by Unknown
Swiss government bond yields dropped to a record -0.23% on 31 May 2012. There is no reason why 2 Year Swiss government bonds should have such low yields (chart 1), other than the fear that the euro will break up or the Swiss National Bank will de-peg against the euro.

Go HERE to read the full analysis.

Chart 1: Swiss Government Bonds 2 Year

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Posted in bond, de-peg, euro, franc, pegging, Swiss, Switzerland | No comments

Wednesday, 23 May 2012

Deflation Starts, Followed by Hyperinflation: Swiss Government Bonds Yields Hitting New Low

Posted on 09:47 by Unknown
This article is meant to give a status update on the economy and in particular money supply. We will see that deflation is starting to show up. I will focus ono bonds, foreign exchanges, precious metals, money supply and personal savings.

To see the full analysis, go here:
http://seekingalpha.com/article/614231-deflation-sets-in-hyperinflation-to-follow




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Posted in bond, Maloney, Mike, Switzerland, yield | No comments
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      • GLD trust gold inflow?
      • Peter Schiff: Stand-Up Comedian
      • Gold Lease Rate Higher, Registered COMEX Gold Lower
      • The Declining Trade Deficit: Not As Rosy As You Wo...
      • China Gold Imports from Hong Kong: Steady in June ...
      • Tax Receipts Vs. Savings Rate
      • Gold Backwardation Explained By James Turk
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