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Showing posts with label reserves. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reserves. Show all posts

Friday, 28 December 2012

Gold is Transported from West to East

Posted on 04:09 by Unknown
I came across an interesting chart on King World News and want to store it on this blog. It can come in handy later on.

As I talked about central banks accumulating gold, apparently it's mostly the Asian economies that are the ones accumulating gold and the Western economies that are selling gold (Chart 1).

Chart 1: West/East Gold Reserves
But as you can see, even the Western banks are now buyers of gold since the eruption of the 2008 crisis.

The top in March 3, 1965 is a very peculiar year. That year, president Johnson approved the Gold reserve law, repealing the backing of Federal Reserve deposits with gold. This law marks the trend to remove gold from the monetary system. In 1967, only 3 nations backed their monetary systems with real gold, now nobody does. The law was a means to expand the monetary system as gold would become less important concerning reserve requirements. And then in 1968, gold backing of Federal Reserve notes was repealed too. So nobody was interested to hold gold in their central bank.

But today, with the expansion of all this paper money and bonds, the gold standard should be reimposed and central banks know this, even Western central banks are now again buying gold as you can see on the blue trend on chart 1.
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Posted in asia, backing, Gold, king world news, KWN, reserves, standard | No comments

Friday, 21 December 2012

Brazil Doubles Gold Holdings in Two Months

Posted on 00:28 by Unknown
Precious metals have been weak for the year of 2012 and investor sentiment is nearing an all time bottom, but I believe we haven't reached bubble territory yet.

When roaming the precious metals forums, I found out that Brazil doubled its gold holdings in two months time (added 17.2 tonnes in October 2012 and 14.7 tonnes in November 2012. Total holdings now 67.2 tonnes), I just wanted to see if central bank gold buying correlated with the gold price.

And surprisingly, there is a correlation (Charts 1 and 2)! If you look very carefully, you will see that the price of gold goes up when central banks buy gold. For example from 1970 till 1976 we see a net positive buying of gold by central banks. That period was also bullish for the gold price. The same can be said for 1980. Then came a period where central banks slowly got rid of their gold from 1980 till 2002 and that's a period where gold declined in price. And from 2003 onwards, central banks have slowly shifted from net sellers to net buyers again today.

Keep reading about this analysis here.


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Posted in Bank, Brazil, central, forex, Gold, holding, reserves | No comments

Sunday, 10 June 2012

Gold Reserves: When Will China Catch Up With The US?

Posted on 01:15 by Unknown
Let's see how long it will take for China to be number one in gold reserves.

The latest data (end of 2011) on gold reserves is given below (CNBC):

1. United States: 8,965.6 tonnes
2. Germany: 3,743.7 tonnes
3. IMF: 3,101 tonnes
4. Italy: 2,702.6 tonnes
5. France: 2,684.6 tonnes
6. SPDR Gold ETF GLD: 1,213.9 tonnes
7. China: 1,161.9 tonnes
8. Switzerland: 1,146.5 tonnes
9. Russia: 960.1 tonnes
10. Japan: 843.5 tonnes

We already know China bought approximately 240 tonnes gold since 2012 started. This puts China's gold reserves at 1400 tonnes. If China were to buy more than 100 tonnes of gold each month and if we assume that the United States doesn't increase its gold reserves, China will catch up with the United States in approximately 6 years and 3 months. So in late 2018 China will have the largest gold reserves in the world and at the same time it will have the largest foreign exchange reserves in the world.
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Posted in China, cnbc, Gold, reserves, united states | No comments
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      • GLD trust gold inflow?
      • Peter Schiff: Stand-Up Comedian
      • Gold Lease Rate Higher, Registered COMEX Gold Lower
      • The Declining Trade Deficit: Not As Rosy As You Wo...
      • China Gold Imports from Hong Kong: Steady in June ...
      • Tax Receipts Vs. Savings Rate
      • Gold Backwardation Explained By James Turk
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