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Saturday, 6 October 2012

Non-Farm Payroll number Vs. Unemployment Rate

Posted on 01:47 by Unknown
Non-Farm Payroll numbers came out at 113000 in September and the unemployment rate fell to 7.8%. Gold initially dropped as everyone thought that the decline in the unemployment rate was positive, but actually it is not. Peter Schiff mentions why in his update here.

As I mentioned before here, the non-farm payroll numbers are more important than the unemployment numbers. Especially when government is underreporting on the unemployment numbers as discouraged workers and part-time workers aren't counted in the unemployment numbers.

To get a higher employment in the U.S. industry we need to have at least 200000 for the non-farm payroll number, which we didn't get at all. We only got 113000, which is only half of the goal we need to achieve.

So the reality is: the unemployment rate went up, even though the government statistics say differently. The reason being that the population is growing faster than people are getting jobs.

Chart 1: Non-farm payroll

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Posted in non-farm payroll, Peter Schiff, unemployment | No comments

Friday, 5 October 2012

Marc Faber Vs. Jim Rogers

Posted on 00:17 by Unknown
Two of my favourite guru's against each other, that will be a fierce fight (and funny too). But it turned out to be not much of a fight as they agree with each other, except for stocks.


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Posted in Jim Rogers, Marc Faber | No comments

Thursday, 4 October 2012

Silver/Gold LCNS update

Posted on 23:55 by Unknown
So far so good for the trend in LCNS for August 2012. As I mentioned before here and here, the LCNS is a leading indicator for the silver price. Once you see the LCNS go up, the silver price will go up a few weeks after it.

In an email update from Peter Schiff last week, he mentioned that silver would be the best commodity to buy these days. I agree, there is a very good chance that silver will blast through the resistance of $38/ounce.

Don't wait for a pullback.
Chart 1: LCNS Silver positions
Chart 2: Silver Price
As for gold we see the same happening (September 18th, 2012). LCNS is spiking upwards, so there is a good chance we will see gold higher the next few weeks. Once you see the LCNS go down, you start to see a pullback. I believe though, that the LCNS has already bottomed out and will continue higher.
Chart 3: LCNS Gold positions
Chart 4: Gold Price

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Posted in Gold, LCNS, silver | No comments

Wednesday, 3 October 2012

Marc Faber Interview OneRadioNetwork

Posted on 13:44 by Unknown
It's been a long time since we had a long interview with Marc Faber.


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Posted in Marc Faber | No comments

U.S. debt just jumped $100 billion

Posted on 13:14 by Unknown
The total public debt stands at $16,171,037,343,408.57 right now, while it was $16,066,241,407,385.89 a few days ago. That's a major jump upwards...

Everyone thought the debt would flatten out, but everyone was wrong. At this pace we will rapidly go through the debt ceiling of $16.3 trillion.

This chart proves it:
Chart 1: Total Public Debt
You can anticipate a major announcement soon about the debt ceiling and maybe a downgrade of the U.S. treasury by Moody's...
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Posted in U.S. debt | No comments

James Turk: Why you should own gold

Posted on 12:57 by Unknown
Interesting presentation from James Turk. What keeps me bullish is his Gold Money Index which still indicates that gold is way undervalued at this time.


Another item mentioned in the video (an item I've talked about many times) is the deficit to outlay ratio. The U.S. is spending money which is borrowed for 40% on average from foreigners.

The latest data on deficit to outlay ratio in August 2012 shows that we borrowed 52% from foreigners to spend on our U.S. programs (medicare, social security, defence, pensions, education...):

Chart 1: Deficit to Outlay Ratio

If we keep going this way, hyperinflation is a certainty.

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Posted in deficit, Gold, James Turk, outlay | No comments

Tuesday, 2 October 2012

Diamonds: The Less Known Commodity: Olivut Resources

Posted on 10:51 by Unknown
Everyone is talking about gold and silver these days, but nobody talks about diamonds. Let's have a little peek inside this sector.

There are many sorts of diamonds in different colors and different grades. The higher the grade, the more precious the gem is. Aside from being pretty, diamonds can also be used in industrial applications (Figure 1).

Figure 1: Diamonds in Industrial Applications
We live in the year 2012, and what is very important about 2012 is that we are at an inflection point. The diamond market is to be found in the developed world as Asian/emerging markets only have a 10%-30% stake in this market (Figure 2). This means that demand is going to keep growing in countries like China and India, while we won't have any new and significant discoveries. In fact, we haven't had any Tier 1 discoveries in over 17 years now. Tier 1 discoveries are very large and very high grade discoveries by the way.

Figure 2: Diamond Demand

As a result, we will get a huge supply and demand gap in the near future, starting from 2015 (Chart 1).

Chart 1: Production - Demand Curve Diamonds
This supply-demand gap will spark diamond prices and we can already see a recovery in diamond prices on chart 2. Consulting firms forecast a 3% to 10% price growth per annum in rough diamonds for the coming years due to China and India.
Chart 2: Diamond Price
So how do we play the positive fundamentals in the diamond market? We go after the biggest resource in the world and that can be found in Olivut Resources.

Find out more here.

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Posted in diamond, olivut resources, OLV | No comments
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Blog Archive

  • ▼  2013 (243)
    • ▼  August (7)
      • GLD trust gold inflow?
      • Peter Schiff: Stand-Up Comedian
      • Gold Lease Rate Higher, Registered COMEX Gold Lower
      • The Declining Trade Deficit: Not As Rosy As You Wo...
      • China Gold Imports from Hong Kong: Steady in June ...
      • Tax Receipts Vs. Savings Rate
      • Gold Backwardation Explained By James Turk
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