UnidoRecruitingNATIONAL

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg

Tuesday, 27 November 2012

Why are the silver lease rates flat at Kitco?

Posted on 09:14 by Unknown
At last we know the reason why the lease rates for silver were flat for so long (and still are). James Turk told us just recently that the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association) is no longer reporting silver interest rates and silver forward rates.

As you know, the lease rate is LIBOR minus GOFO and the same applies for silver. If they don't report the silver forward rates, you can't get the lease rate anymore, because we lost a parameter of the equation. James Turk says that the LBMA is underreporting on the silver forward rate. It's reporting contango, but actually it should be in backwardation. When gold and silver are in backwardation, that means we will have high probability of getting inflation.

That's what I'm making of this, unless there is someone who can give another explanation for the flat curve here:

Chart 1: Silver Lease Rate
Luckily, we still have the gold GOFO and gold lease rates. The GOFO is still in contango (3 month GOFO = 0.42%). So we just use those to "assume" silver forward rate ... If we do get a spike down in GOFO, then severe backwardation could show up.

One thing is certain. If gold lease rates go up, the GOFO goes down and that means the gold goes in backwardation. And that also means that silver is going in backwardation. That ultimately means that you should buy silver when silver lease rates go up.

If this event of the LBMA isn't a reason to buy silver, I don't know what is.

And finally, isn't it a coincidence that the silver priced started to move up just when the curve went flat (Chart 1)?

Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to FacebookShare to Pinterest
Posted in James, LBMA, Lease, rate, silver, Turk | No comments
Newer Post Older Post Home

0 comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • GLD trust gold inflow?
    Looks like the media is telling us that the GLD trust physical gold holdings are rising and giving a boost to the precious metals prices. I ...
  • J.P. Morgan Converts Almost Half of Eligible Gold to Registered Gold
    I couldn't believe my eyes when I saw this. Suddenly we saw the J.P. Morgan vault get almost half of the eligible gold converted into re...
  • Correlation between Bonds and Gold
    Just to be sure that I have this picture (and correlation) logged onto this blog, here is the famous Zero Hedge bonds Vs. gold chart. Chart ...
  • China Construction Bank to Buy European Bank: RBS or Commerzbank?
    On 16 September 2012, China Construction Bank  (CCB) announced that it would use up to $15 billion dollars to buy a stake (30%-50% stake or ...
  • Platinum Demand Falling
    In my previous article about platinum  I pointed out it was time to trade gold for platinum. You would think that the time has come again to...
  • Silver Inventories at CME and Lease Rates
    Just a few weeks after I turned bullish on silver , articles are sprouting out of nowhere about silver inventories being historically low . ...
  • Tax Receipts Vs. Savings Rate
    Whenever the government raises taxes or when corporate profits rise, tax revenue will rise with it (blue chart). But this has implications, ...
  • Premiums on silver skyrocket
    With the 10% smackdown of silver today, the premiums on junk silver skyrocketed to 25% (Chart 1). The disconnect between the physical market...
  • China Gold Imports from Hong Kong: Steady in June 2013
    In June 2013, the gold imports from Hong Kong to China were essentially flat. The summer isn't a good period for gold either, so this is...
  • The Current Status on Precious Metals
    Let's do a quick analysis on precious metals here. First off, I said yesterday that China lost interest in gold during the past months i...

Categories

  • 10 (1)
  • 10 year treasuries (1)
  • 1987 (1)
  • 2012 (7)
  • 30 (1)
  • account (1)
  • acquisitions (1)
  • adjustable (1)
  • ADP (1)
  • Advantage (1)
  • aggregates (2)
  • AGQ (1)
  • agriculture (1)
  • Akamai Technologies (1)
  • alert (1)
  • Alex Jones (1)
  • Allan Meltzer (1)
  • Allana (1)
  • Allana Potash (1)
  • amber gold (1)
  • America (1)
  • and (2)
  • Angela (1)
  • APMEX (5)
  • applications (1)
  • April 2012 (1)
  • arbitrage (2)
  • Arthur (1)
  • asia (2)
  • Asian (1)
  • At. Augustine Gold (1)
  • Atlantic Economy Summit (1)
  • AUD (1)
  • Australian dollar (1)
  • automotive (2)
  • average (3)
  • Avino (1)
  • bac (2)
  • backing (1)
  • backwardation (6)
  • balance (8)
  • balance sheet (3)
  • Baltic (1)
  • Baltic Dry Index (1)
  • Bank (10)
  • Bank of America (1)
  • Bankrupt (1)
  • bankruptcy (2)
  • banks (3)
  • bar (1)
  • Barclays (1)
  • Bargain (1)
  • Barrick Gold (1)
  • base (1)
  • base money (1)
  • Bass (1)
  • BCS (1)
  • beleggerscompetitie (4)
  • Belgium (10)
  • Ben (3)
  • Ben Bernanke (4)
  • Bernanke (4)
  • Bernstein (1)
  • BHP (1)
  • bitcoin (8)
  • blog (1)
  • BNP (1)
  • bond (14)
  • bond yields (1)
  • bonds (33)
  • boom (1)
  • Brad Cooke (1)
  • Brazil (1)
  • brent (2)
  • Brink's (2)
  • brother (1)
  • BrotherJohnF (1)
  • bubble (2)
  • budget (2)
  • Budget Deficit (1)
  • Buffett (2)
  • building (2)
  • bullion (1)
  • bullish (1)
  • buyback (1)
  • buying (1)
  • c (1)
  • calculation (2)
  • Cambridge (1)
  • Canada (1)
  • Capacity (8)
  • Capacity Utilization (7)
  • Capesize (1)
  • capita (1)
  • Capstone Mining (1)
  • car crash (1)
  • Case-Shiller (1)
  • Casey (1)
  • Cash is Trash (1)
  • cattle (1)
  • ceiling (4)
  • celente (2)
  • cement (1)
  • central (2)
  • CFTC (3)
  • Chaudhary (1)
  • Chicago (2)
  • China (48)
  • China Construction Bank (1)
  • CHK (1)
  • chocolate (1)
  • Citigroup (2)
  • city (1)
  • claims (3)
  • CLF (1)
  • cliff (3)
  • CME (11)
  • cnbc (2)
  • CNT depository (1)
  • coal (2)
  • cocoa (1)
  • COFER (2)
  • coffee (1)
  • comedy (1)
  • COMEX (33)
  • commercial (1)
  • Commerzbank (1)
  • commodities (4)
  • commodity (1)
  • competition (1)
  • composition (1)
  • Conan (1)
  • Conference (2)
  • congress (1)
  • consumer (4)
  • consumption (2)
  • Contango (26)
  • contraction (1)
  • convention (1)
  • copper (34)
  • copper contango (1)
  • corn (2)
  • Corp (1)
  • correlation (54)
  • correlations (7)
  • cost (5)
  • costs (1)
  • COT (4)
  • cotton (1)
  • council (1)
  • country (2)
  • county (1)
  • cover (1)
  • CPI (5)
  • crash (2)
  • CRB (3)
  • credit (2)
  • Credit Agricole (1)
  • Croatia (1)
  • crude (3)
  • currency (3)
  • current (1)
  • curve (1)
  • Cut (1)
  • Cyprus (7)
  • Da (1)
  • daily (1)
  • Dan Norcini (1)
  • David (1)
  • David Morgan (2)
  • DB (1)
  • de-peg (1)
  • Debt (30)
  • debt ceiling (2)
  • debt limit (1)
  • December (1)
  • decoupling (7)
  • default (4)
  • deficit (7)
  • deflation (2)
  • delivery (1)
  • Demand (6)
  • Denmark (2)
  • Denninger (1)
  • deposit (8)
  • deposit facility (1)
  • deposits (3)
  • diamond (1)
  • Discouraged (1)
  • disposable (1)
  • dividend (1)
  • DJP (1)
  • DNC (1)
  • dollar (2)
  • domestic (1)
  • Doug (1)
  • Dow (7)
  • drop (1)
  • Dry (1)
  • durable (1)
  • dwcf (1)
  • earnings (4)
  • earnings per share (1)
  • ECB (6)
  • economy (1)
  • Ecuador (1)
  • elections (1)
  • electricity (2)
  • eligible (2)
  • Embry (1)
  • Employment (1)
  • Endeavour (1)
  • Endeavour Silver (2)
  • Engelhard (1)
  • eps (3)
  • equities (3)
  • equity (1)
  • equity markets (1)
  • Eric (6)
  • Eric Sprott (1)
  • estate (2)
  • estimate (1)
  • ETF (3)
  • Ethiopia (1)
  • Ethiopian Potash (1)
  • eur (1)
  • Eureka (1)
  • Euribor (2)
  • euro (8)
  • Europe (7)
  • European Union (1)
  • Eurozone (1)
  • exchange (1)
  • EXK (1)
  • expansion (1)
  • experiment (4)
  • exploration (1)
  • export (1)
  • exports (1)
  • Exposure (1)
  • external (1)
  • Faber (3)
  • family (1)
  • Faustian (1)
  • fed (2)
  • federal (10)
  • federal reserve (3)
  • Fertilizer (1)
  • Financial Services Committee (1)
  • First (3)
  • First Majestic Silver Corp. (1)
  • fiscal (3)
  • fiscal cliff (1)
  • fixed (1)
  • food stamps (1)
  • food stamps hire people (1)
  • foreigners (4)
  • forex (1)
  • Forum (1)
  • forward (1)
  • franc (1)
  • France (3)
  • Fraser (1)
  • French (1)
  • fund (1)
  • funds (3)
  • gas (1)
  • Gazprom (1)
  • gdp (25)
  • George Soros (1)
  • Germany (3)
  • gld (3)
  • GNP (1)
  • GOFO (4)
  • Gold (130)
  • gold money index (1)
  • golden cross (1)
  • Goldman (1)
  • Goldman Sachs (2)
  • goldonomic (1)
  • goods (1)
  • got gold report (1)
  • government (2)
  • great (1)
  • Great Depression (2)
  • Greece (8)
  • Greg (1)
  • gross (1)
  • growth (1)
  • GS (1)
  • GSK (1)
  • Hampshire (1)
  • Hang Seng (1)
  • Happy New Year (1)
  • Hedge (1)
  • Hewlett Packard (1)
  • Hitler (1)
  • HMI (1)
  • holding (1)
  • holdings (4)
  • Hole (1)
  • Hollande (4)
  • home (1)
  • hong (7)
  • Hong Kong (11)
  • hour (4)
  • hourly (3)
  • Housing (8)
  • housing market index (1)
  • HSBC (1)
  • Hunter (1)
  • Hyperinflation (3)
  • IMF (1)
  • import (14)
  • imports (16)
  • income (1)
  • index (13)
  • India (1)
  • industrial (2)
  • industry (1)
  • inflatiion (1)
  • inflation (11)
  • iniflation (1)
  • initial (3)
  • initial claims (1)
  • initiative (1)
  • Insider (1)
  • insider trading (1)
  • institute (1)
  • interconnectivity (1)
  • Interest (9)
  • interest payment (1)
  • Interest Rates (1)
  • inventory (1)
  • investment (2)
  • Investor (1)
  • Iran (4)
  • Ireland (1)
  • Iron (2)
  • Iron ore (2)
  • Irwin (1)
  • Israel (2)
  • Italy (4)
  • J.P. Morgan (7)
  • J.P. Morgan Chase (1)
  • Jackson (1)
  • James (5)
  • James Turk (2)
  • Japan (10)
  • jesse jackson (1)
  • Jim (1)
  • Jim Rogers (1)
  • Jim Sinclair (1)
  • JNJ (1)
  • job cuts (1)
  • jobless (2)
  • John (3)
  • John Davis (1)
  • Jones (2)
  • JP Morgan (1)
  • jpm (1)
  • July (1)
  • June (2)
  • junk (3)
  • Karl (1)
  • keiser (2)
  • king world news (1)
  • Kohler (1)
  • kong (7)
  • KWN (2)
  • Kyle (1)
  • Kyle Bass (1)
  • laptop (1)
  • large commercial (1)
  • Las (1)
  • LBMA (3)
  • LCNS (9)
  • Lease (8)
  • Lease rate (3)
  • lease rates (2)
  • Lecture (1)
  • lending (1)
  • leverage (1)
  • Liberty (1)
  • LIBOR (3)
  • Lloyds (1)
  • LME (3)
  • Loans (1)
  • london (2)
  • long (1)
  • LTRO (3)
  • lumber (1)
  • M0 (1)
  • M1 (1)
  • M2 (1)
  • M3 (2)
  • Majestic (3)
  • Maloney (1)
  • manager (1)
  • manipulation (1)
  • Marc (3)
  • Marc Faber (11)
  • March (1)
  • margin (1)
  • marginal (4)
  • market (5)
  • Mastercard (1)
  • maturity (2)
  • Mauldin (1)
  • max (2)
  • max keiser (3)
  • May (1)
  • MBS (5)
  • Melvin (1)
  • merger (1)
  • Merkel (1)
  • metal (1)
  • metals (7)
  • Metdist (1)
  • MF global (1)
  • Michael (2)
  • Middle East (1)
  • Mike (1)
  • Mike Maloney (2)
  • miners (2)
  • mines (1)
  • Mining (4)
  • minister (1)
  • Mint (1)
  • monetary (1)
  • money (4)
  • Moneyshow (1)
  • monitoring (1)
  • Monitoring of decoupling (1)
  • Morgan (1)
  • Morgan Stanley (1)
  • mortgage (6)
  • Moustache (1)
  • moving average (1)
  • MZM (3)
  • natural (1)
  • Natural gas (3)
  • Neeraj (1)
  • Negative (3)
  • net (4)
  • Netherlands (2)
  • New (1)
  • News (1)
  • nickel (1)
  • Noel (1)
  • Nomura (2)
  • non farm payroll (1)
  • non-farm payroll (1)
  • NOS (1)
  • Novartis (1)
  • O'Brien (1)
  • obesity (1)
  • Occupy (1)
  • Offering (1)
  • oil (9)
  • oil embargo (1)
  • Okun (1)
  • olivut resources (1)
  • OLV (1)
  • Onion (1)
  • open (3)
  • orders (1)
  • ore (1)
  • outflow (1)
  • outlay (4)
  • outlays (1)
  • overnight (1)
  • P/B (1)
  • P/E (2)
  • palladium (4)
  • Pan American Silver (1)
  • Panamax (1)
  • paper (1)
  • Paulson (1)
  • payment (1)
  • payroll (3)
  • pegging (1)
  • pending (1)
  • Pentagon (1)
  • Pento (2)
  • permit (2)
  • personal (1)
  • Peter (13)
  • Peter Schiff (13)
  • petition (1)
  • Pfizer (1)
  • pharmaceutical (1)
  • phys (1)
  • physical (2)
  • piano (1)
  • PIIGS (6)
  • platinum (7)
  • PMI (11)
  • Ponzi (1)
  • Poor's (2)
  • population (1)
  • Portugal (3)
  • positions (3)
  • Potash (1)
  • Potemkin (1)
  • PPLT (1)
  • precious (4)
  • premium (25)
  • president (1)
  • Price (16)
  • private (1)
  • product (1)
  • production (7)
  • profit (1)
  • PSLV (5)
  • public (3)
  • purchasing (1)
  • QE (1)
  • QE3 (6)
  • radio (1)
  • rally (2)
  • rate (27)
  • rates (2)
  • ratio (11)
  • RBS (1)
  • real (4)
  • Real estate (4)
  • receipt (1)
  • recession (1)
  • recycling (1)
  • red (1)
  • referendum (1)
  • regions (1)
  • registered (3)
  • registered gold (1)
  • repatriation (1)
  • report (4)
  • requirement (1)
  • reserve (12)
  • reserve currency (1)
  • reserve requirement (1)
  • reserves (3)
  • Resource (1)
  • revenue (2)
  • revision (1)
  • revisions (1)
  • Rhodium (1)
  • Rickards (1)
  • RJA (1)
  • RMB (1)
  • Road (1)
  • Roche (1)
  • Royal Canadian Mint (1)
  • run (1)
  • Russia (2)
  • Sachs (1)
  • sales (1)
  • SAU (1)
  • Saudi Arabia (1)
  • Savings (5)
  • scheme (1)
  • Schiff (13)
  • Scott Minerd (1)
  • scrap (3)
  • second quarter (1)
  • sector (1)
  • securities (1)
  • Seminar (1)
  • sentiment (2)
  • SGS (1)
  • Shanghai (15)
  • share (1)
  • sheet (7)
  • SHIBOR (1)
  • short (6)
  • short positions (1)
  • shortage (2)
  • shorting (1)
  • Show (1)
  • Silva (1)
  • silver (90)
  • Silver glitch (1)
  • Silver Lake Resources (1)
  • Singapore (1)
  • single (1)
  • Sipef (1)
  • slv (3)
  • Societe general (1)
  • Soros (1)
  • soybean (1)
  • soybeans (1)
  • Spain (4)
  • Spain unemployment (1)
  • SpainC (1)
  • Spanish (1)
  • SPDR (1)
  • spending (2)
  • Spiegel (1)
  • SPPP (2)
  • SPR (1)
  • spread (1)
  • Sprott (14)
  • stand (1)
  • standard (3)
  • Standard and Poor's (5)
  • starts (1)
  • stimulus (2)
  • stock (19)
  • stocks (2)
  • strategic petroleum reserve (1)
  • Street (1)
  • stress (1)
  • Student (1)
  • sugar (1)
  • supply (5)
  • Supramax (1)
  • surplus (1)
  • surprise (1)
  • Swaps (1)
  • Swiss (2)
  • Switzerland (4)
  • takeover (1)
  • target (1)
  • tax (8)
  • taxation (1)
  • taxes (1)
  • Tekoa (1)
  • test (1)
  • testify (1)
  • The Real Crash (1)
  • Theory (2)
  • TLT (1)
  • total (4)
  • trade (1)
  • trade deficit (1)
  • transport (1)
  • treasuries (18)
  • treasury (10)
  • treasury holdings (2)
  • trust (3)
  • turbo (1)
  • Turk (5)
  • U.S. (21)
  • U.S. debt (1)
  • U.S. dollar (1)
  • U.S. Mint (2)
  • U.S. treasuries (1)
  • U.S. treasury holdings (1)
  • U3 (1)
  • U6 (1)
  • unemployment (17)
  • Unemployment rate (1)
  • united states (1)
  • up (1)
  • US (7)
  • USA (1)
  • USD (8)
  • Utilization (8)
  • Valcambi (1)
  • valuation (1)
  • Vegas (1)
  • velocity (5)
  • Visa (1)
  • volatility (1)
  • wage (3)
  • wages (1)
  • Wall (1)
  • Wall Street Journal (1)
  • War (3)
  • warehouse (1)
  • Warren (2)
  • wedge (1)
  • Western Potash (1)
  • wheat (2)
  • worker (1)
  • world (1)
  • World Market Window (1)
  • wrap (1)
  • WTI (1)
  • Yahoo (1)
  • year (2)
  • yen (2)
  • Yeul (1)
  • yield (11)
  • yields (2)
  • yuan (1)
  • zero (6)
  • Zero Hour (2)
  • Zero Hour Debt (1)
  • zerohedge (2)
  • zinc (1)

Blog Archive

  • ►  2013 (243)
    • ►  August (7)
    • ►  July (14)
    • ►  June (34)
    • ►  May (23)
    • ►  April (53)
    • ►  March (36)
    • ►  February (33)
    • ►  January (43)
  • ▼  2012 (257)
    • ►  December (42)
    • ▼  November (26)
      • Unemployment: Getting Worse in Europe
      • Gold Lease Rate: Trend is a little concerning
      • Brink's Another 1 million ounces physical silver gone
      • Dow Gold Ratio closing down
      • Why are the silver lease rates flat at Kitco?
      • Marc Faber Interview
      • Ellis Martin Report with Peter Schiff
      • Stocks will underperform
      • Copper Contango and How to Use it to Your Advantage
      • Drop of 1 million physical ounces of silver COMEX
      • Peter Schiff's Official Gold Blog
      • Bullish on Precious Metals
      • Yet another day of decoupling
      • China Electricity Production Inches Up
      • Foreign Investors Continue to Buy U.S. Treasuries
      • Fiscal Cliff: Savings Rate to go into Negative Ter...
      • Israel - Iran - Syria Escalating
      • Capacity Utilization Flat for the Month of October...
      • Soros Bullish on Gold and Mining
      • Another day of decoupling
      • Peter Schiff talking about Fiscal Cliff and Decoup...
      • Sprott Silver at it Again
      • Short Bonds Now!
      • Positive Numbers on China's Gold Imports from Hong...
      • Engelhard Silver Bullion Premium to Spot Silver
      • Barrick Gold: Abysmal Earnings
    • ►  October (30)
    • ►  September (20)
    • ►  August (25)
    • ►  July (32)
    • ►  June (30)
    • ►  May (29)
    • ►  April (23)
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

Unknown
View my complete profile